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Raute Oyj (RAUTE.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$70.59 - $385.82$137.03
Multi-Stage$53.25 - $58.36$55.76
Blended Fair Value$96.39
Current Price$14.00
Upside588.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-36.77%-11.31%0.100.000.000.540.990.950.850.670.530.38
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-44.82%3.59%12.18%26.07%27.76%37.11%20.27%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.00%0.00%3.32%4.57%4.79%3.17%2.32%2.49%2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.461.540.92
Cash Retained (M)8.998.998.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.46-1.54-0.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.537.458.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.276.276.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.041.191.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.571.721.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.22%5.22%6.22%
Fair Value$70.59$137.03$385.82
Upside / Downside404.18%878.76%2,655.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.3112.9513.6314.3415.0915.8816.35
Payout Ratio26.97%39.57%52.18%64.79%77.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.325.137.119.2911.6814.2915.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.22%5.22%6.22%
Year 1 PV (M)4.774.814.86
Year 2 PV (M)6.156.276.39
Year 3 PV (M)7.477.687.90
Year 4 PV (M)8.729.069.41
Year 5 PV (M)9.9310.4110.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)296.84311.36326.44
Equity Value (M)333.87349.60365.92
Shares Outstanding (M)6.276.276.27
Fair Value$53.25$55.76$58.36
Upside / Downside280.34%298.25%316.84%

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