Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Putra Mandiri Jembar Tbk (PMJS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.58 - $90.05$73.94
Multi-Stage$121.69 - $133.83$127.64
Blended Fair Value$100.79
Current Price$120.00
Upside-16.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.007.304.800.000.0030.313.290.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%52.08%0.00%0.00%-100.00%822.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.41%2.96%0.00%0.00%29.15%1.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95,337.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44,017.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)51,319.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,067.5411,917.217,150.33
Cash Retained (M)51,319.7851,319.7851,319.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,067.54-11,917.21-7,150.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,252.2439,402.5744,169.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13,755.6013,755.6013,755.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.342.863.21
LTM Dividend per Share3.203.203.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.342.863.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.546.066.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$59.58$73.94$90.05
Upside / Downside-50.35%-38.38%-24.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95,337.7094,384.3393,440.4892,506.0891,581.0290,665.2193,385.16
Payout Ratio46.17%54.94%63.70%72.47%81.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44,017.9251,851.3759,523.7567,037.5074,395.0281,598.6986,381.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)47,916.1048,405.0448,893.98
Year 2 PV (M)50,831.4851,874.1552,927.41
Year 3 PV (M)52,903.1454,539.2156,208.66
Year 4 PV (M)54,253.6356,502.1958,819.93
Year 5 PV (M)54,990.7157,854.2060,835.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,413,032.611,486,612.491,563,226.13
Equity Value (M)1,673,927.671,755,787.281,840,911.86
Shares Outstanding (M)13,755.6013,755.6013,755.60
Fair Value$121.69$127.64$133.83
Upside / Downside1.41%6.37%11.52%

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