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Definitive Analysis

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Pacific Horizon Investment Trust PLC (PHI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.26 - $7.49$6.36
Multi-Stage$7.88 - $8.67$8.27
Blended Fair Value$7.31
Current Price$6.48
Upside12.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%9.34%0.030.030.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---18.82%7.61%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.91%-77.39%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.54%0.52%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.08%0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.098.815.28
Cash Retained (M)65.1165.1165.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.09-8.81-5.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.0256.3059.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.0690.0690.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.630.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.630.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.680.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.66%9.66%9.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.26$6.36$7.49
Upside / Downside-18.84%-1.92%15.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.4769.7669.0668.3767.6967.0169.02
Payout Ratio7.60%24.08%40.56%57.04%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.3516.8028.0139.0049.7660.3163.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.66%9.66%9.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15.1615.3215.47
Year 2 PV (M)22.8223.2923.76
Year 3 PV (M)28.6829.5730.47
Year 4 PV (M)33.0434.4135.82
Year 5 PV (M)36.1438.0239.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)574.13604.02635.15
Equity Value (M)709.97744.63780.66
Shares Outstanding (M)90.0690.0690.06
Fair Value$7.88$8.27$8.67
Upside / Downside21.66%27.60%33.78%

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