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Definitive Analysis

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Omnia Holdings Limited (OMN.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$152.37 - $242.37$193.31
Multi-Stage$195.05 - $212.52$203.63
Blended Fair Value$198.47
Current Price$71.60
Upside177.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%13.60%7.023.838.186.140.000.000.931.601.421.97
YoY Growth--83.15%-53.16%33.23%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-41.60%12.45%-28.09%0.62%
Dividend Yield--10.45%6.42%14.55%8.16%0.00%0.00%2.74%1.54%1.26%2.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,368.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,246.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)122.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)473.60296.00177.60
Cash Retained (M)122.00122.00122.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-473.60-296.00-177.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)-351.60-174.00-55.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)164.16164.16164.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-2.14-1.06-0.34
LTM Dividend per Share13.6813.6813.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share-2.14-1.06-0.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5412.6213.34
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate2.02%3.02%4.02%
Fair Value$152.37$193.31$242.37
Upside / Downside112.81%169.99%238.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,368.002,439.512,513.172,589.062,667.242,747.782,830.22
Payout Ratio94.85%93.88%92.91%91.94%90.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,246.002,290.172,334.962,380.362,426.382,473.012,617.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate2.02%3.02%4.02%
Year 1 PV (M)2,066.532,086.792,107.05
Year 2 PV (M)1,901.201,938.661,976.48
Year 3 PV (M)1,748.911,800.841,853.80
Year 4 PV (M)1,608.641,672.641,738.54
Year 5 PV (M)1,479.451,553.391,630.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,215.8824,376.2225,582.50
Equity Value (M)32,020.6133,428.5434,888.62
Shares Outstanding (M)164.16164.16164.16
Fair Value$195.05$203.63$212.52
Upside / Downside172.42%184.40%196.82%

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