Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Odfjell Drilling Ltd. (ODL.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas DrillingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.64 - $5.44$4.50
Multi-Stage$7.35 - $8.06$7.69
Blended Fair Value$6.10
Current Price$6.60
Upside-7.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%19.05%0.240.120.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--101.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.32%2.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.3813.368.02
Cash Retained (M)9.709.709.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.38-13.36-8.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)-11.68-3.661.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)240.03240.03240.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.020.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.64$4.50$5.44
Upside / Downside-44.78%-31.87%-17.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.90105.83104.77103.72102.69101.66104.71
Payout Ratio90.93%90.74%90.56%90.37%90.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.2096.0394.8893.7492.6191.4996.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)88.3689.2790.17
Year 2 PV (M)80.3381.9883.64
Year 3 PV (M)73.0375.2977.59
Year 4 PV (M)66.3969.1471.98
Year 5 PV (M)60.3563.5066.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,395.031,467.681,543.32
Equity Value (M)1,763.501,846.841,933.46
Shares Outstanding (M)240.03240.03240.03
Fair Value$7.35$7.69$8.06
Upside / Downside11.32%16.58%22.05%

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