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Definitive Analysis

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Nippon Active Value Fund plc (NAVF.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.19 - $5.94$5.05
Multi-Stage$6.11 - $6.72$6.41
Blended Fair Value$5.73
Current Price$2.00
Upside186.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.020.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---16.34%64.11%151.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.91%1.27%1.06%0.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)112.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)106.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.5914.128.47
Cash Retained (M)106.28106.28106.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.59-14.12-8.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)83.7092.1797.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)175.97175.97175.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.520.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.520.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.560.59
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.19$5.05$5.94
Upside / Downside109.63%152.68%196.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)112.93111.80110.68109.57108.48107.39110.61
Payout Ratio5.88%22.71%39.53%56.35%73.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.6425.3843.7561.7579.3896.65102.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.8423.0823.31
Year 2 PV (M)35.4336.1636.89
Year 3 PV (M)45.0046.3947.81
Year 4 PV (M)52.0654.2256.44
Year 5 PV (M)57.0460.0163.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)862.66907.59954.36
Equity Value (M)1,075.041,127.441,181.92
Shares Outstanding (M)175.97175.97175.97
Fair Value$6.11$6.41$6.72
Upside / Downside205.46%220.35%235.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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