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Definitive Analysis

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Mivne Real Estate (K.D) Ltd (MVNE.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.13 - $40.15$26.14
Multi-Stage$19.48 - $21.36$20.41
Blended Fair Value$23.27
Current Price$12.92
Upside80.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%9.84%0.160.390.350.280.120.000.000.000.000.12
YoY Growth---59.93%12.55%24.39%127.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.59%4.34%3.52%2.25%1.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)686.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)137.2585.7851.47
Cash Retained (M)566.24566.24566.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-137.25-85.78-51.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)428.99480.46514.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)729.49729.49729.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.660.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.660.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.750.820.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.31%7.31%7.31%
Growth Rate3.03%4.03%5.03%
Fair Value$18.13$26.14$40.15
Upside / Downside40.34%102.29%210.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)686.24713.89742.65772.58803.70836.09861.17
Payout Ratio17.49%31.99%46.49%60.99%75.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.00228.37345.27471.23606.77752.48796.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.31%7.31%7.31%
Growth Rate3.03%4.03%5.03%
Year 1 PV (M)210.77212.82214.87
Year 2 PV (M)294.12299.86305.65
Year 3 PV (M)370.50381.39392.49
Year 4 PV (M)440.31457.66475.51
Year 5 PV (M)503.98528.91554.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,391.6313,004.7813,641.97
Equity Value (M)14,211.3114,885.4215,585.32
Shares Outstanding (M)729.49729.49729.49
Fair Value$19.48$20.41$21.36
Upside / Downside50.78%57.94%65.36%

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