Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Movida Participações S.A. (MOVI3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.90 - $158.75$122.40
Multi-Stage$19.51 - $21.36$20.42
Blended Fair Value$71.41
Current Price$8.96
Upside696.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.401.280.310.160.260.070.250.050.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-69.13%319.87%87.91%-36.33%276.97%-72.50%420.97%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.87%16.81%2.04%1.16%3.81%0.75%4.47%0.74%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)278.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.6434.7720.86
Cash Retained (M)223.14223.14223.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.64-34.77-20.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.50188.37202.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)348.51348.51348.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$41.90$122.40$158.75
Upside / Downside367.69%1,266.08%1,671.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)278.19296.27315.53336.04357.88381.15392.58
Payout Ratio19.79%33.83%47.87%61.92%75.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.05100.23151.05208.06271.84343.03363.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)92.7093.5894.46
Year 2 PV (M)129.21131.67134.16
Year 3 PV (M)164.60169.33174.14
Year 4 PV (M)198.90206.55214.42
Year 5 PV (M)232.14243.35254.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,982.456,271.406,571.42
Equity Value (M)6,800.007,115.887,443.58
Shares Outstanding (M)348.51348.51348.51
Fair Value$19.51$20.42$21.36
Upside / Downside117.77%127.88%138.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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