Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mega Or Holdings Ltd (MGOR.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,594.94 - $5,215.94$4,888.10
Multi-Stage$793.41 - $869.13$830.57
Blended Fair Value$2,859.33
Current Price$179.40
Upside1,493.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.95%42.02%2.720.952.722.721.500.680.920.680.330.11
YoY Growth--185.71%-65.00%0.00%81.82%120.00%-26.41%35.88%108.33%200.00%33.56%
Dividend Yield--2.53%0.97%3.55%2.17%1.52%0.79%2.00%1.49%0.98%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)964.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)165.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)799.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)192.83120.5272.31
Cash Retained (M)799.16799.16799.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-192.83-120.52-72.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)606.33678.64726.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.7636.7636.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.4918.4619.77
LTM Dividend per Share4.494.494.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.4918.4619.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.9822.9524.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,594.94$4,888.10$5,215.94
Upside / Downside1,346.46%2,624.69%2,807.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)964.161,026.831,093.581,164.661,240.361,320.991,360.62
Payout Ratio17.11%31.69%46.27%60.85%75.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)165.00325.41505.98708.64935.521,188.891,258.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)303.10305.97308.84
Year 2 PV (M)438.97447.33455.77
Year 3 PV (M)572.65589.08605.83
Year 4 PV (M)704.15731.23759.08
Year 5 PV (M)833.50873.76915.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,315.0827,586.1028,905.78
Equity Value (M)29,167.4430,533.4831,950.87
Shares Outstanding (M)36.7636.7636.76
Fair Value$793.41$830.57$869.13
Upside / Downside342.26%362.97%384.46%

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