Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Malteries Franco-Belges S.A. (MALT.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,587.61 - $4,979.11$3,544.39
Multi-Stage$3,668.80 - $4,032.67$3,847.26
Blended Fair Value$3,695.82
Current Price$895.00
Upside312.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-6.44%-3.95%3.903.930.000.0045.415.445.895.045.454.49
YoY Growth---0.77%0.00%0.00%-100.00%734.99%-7.63%16.84%-7.51%21.48%-23.12%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.65%0.00%0.00%5.31%0.92%0.98%0.96%1.24%1.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.3210.206.12
Cash Retained (M)77.7177.7177.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.32-10.20-6.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)61.3967.5171.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.500.500.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share123.75136.09144.31
LTM Dividend per Share7.837.837.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share123.75136.09144.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend131.58143.92152.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Fair Value$2,587.61$3,544.39$4,979.11
Upside / Downside189.12%296.02%456.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.5983.6885.8288.0290.2792.5895.36
Payout Ratio4.76%21.81%38.86%55.90%72.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.8818.2533.3549.2165.8683.3388.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Year 1 PV (M)16.9317.1017.27
Year 2 PV (M)28.7129.2829.85
Year 3 PV (M)39.3140.4841.68
Year 4 PV (M)48.8150.7652.77
Year 5 PV (M)57.3060.1863.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,628.941,710.731,795.78
Equity Value (M)1,820.011,908.542,000.52
Shares Outstanding (M)0.500.500.50
Fair Value$3,668.80$3,847.26$4,032.67
Upside / Downside309.92%329.86%350.58%

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