Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Law Debenture Corporation p.l.c. (LWDB.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.88 - $150.16$85.79
Multi-Stage$38.27 - $41.81$40.01
Blended Fair Value$62.90
Current Price$10.00
Upside528.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.29%9.16%0.330.310.280.270.350.180.160.150.150.15
YoY Growth--6.16%9.02%6.43%-24.20%99.87%9.59%4.74%5.02%0.02%6.74%
Dividend Yield--3.66%3.84%3.66%3.32%5.07%2.69%2.96%2.42%2.74%2.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)310.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.1138.8223.29
Cash Retained (M)223.50223.50223.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.11-38.82-23.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)161.38184.68200.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)131.71131.71131.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.401.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.401.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.892.062.18
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$55.88$85.79$150.16
Upside / Downside458.80%757.85%1,401.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)310.57330.75352.25375.15399.53425.50438.27
Payout Ratio28.04%40.43%52.82%65.21%77.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.07133.72186.06244.65310.07382.95405.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)121.46122.61123.76
Year 2 PV (M)153.51156.43159.38
Year 3 PV (M)183.33188.60193.96
Year 4 PV (M)211.05219.16227.51
Year 5 PV (M)236.76248.19260.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,134.914,334.624,541.99
Equity Value (M)5,041.015,269.615,506.66
Shares Outstanding (M)131.71131.71131.71
Fair Value$38.27$40.01$41.81
Upside / Downside282.74%300.09%318.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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