Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PSG Financial Services Limited (KST.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.41 - $81.30$54.49
Multi-Stage$28.55 - $31.15$29.82
Blended Fair Value$42.16
Current Price$22.02
Upside91.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.13%15.90%0.490.390.340.280.240.220.200.160.140.12
YoY Growth--26.69%13.91%23.22%13.91%8.86%10.52%22.35%15.51%14.23%11.14%
Dividend Yield--2.72%2.57%2.62%2.01%2.69%2.82%1.88%1.90%1.90%1.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,603.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)795.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,808.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)520.73325.46195.27
Cash Retained (M)1,808.611,808.611,808.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-520.73-325.46-195.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,287.881,483.151,613.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,268.171,268.171,268.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.021.171.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.021.171.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.641.801.90
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$38.41$54.49$81.30
Upside / Downside74.44%147.47%269.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,603.662,772.902,953.133,145.093,349.523,567.243,674.25
Payout Ratio30.54%42.43%54.32%66.21%78.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)795.051,176.501,604.192,082.502,616.213,210.513,398.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,059.401,069.441,079.48
Year 2 PV (M)1,300.731,325.511,350.52
Year 3 PV (M)1,520.491,564.141,608.62
Year 4 PV (M)1,720.051,786.191,854.23
Year 5 PV (M)1,900.681,992.482,087.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,698.8530,085.0231,524.23
Equity Value (M)36,200.2037,822.7839,504.88
Shares Outstanding (M)1,268.171,268.171,268.17
Fair Value$28.55$29.82$31.15
Upside / Downside29.63%35.44%41.47%

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