Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PT Puri Sentul Permai Tbk (KDTN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.81 - $13.97$11.85
Multi-Stage$15.94 - $17.46$16.69
Blended Fair Value$14.27
Current Price$125.00
Upside-88.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-2.11%0.00%1.081.220.006.611.601.200.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---11.29%0.00%-100.00%313.01%33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.90%1.23%0.00%3.50%0.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,822.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,100.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)722.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)364.45227.78136.67
Cash Retained (M)722.26722.26722.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-364.45-227.78-136.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)357.81494.48585.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,250.031,250.031,250.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.400.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.880.880.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.400.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.171.281.35
WACC / Discount Rate9.66%9.66%9.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.81$11.85$13.97
Upside / Downside-92.16%-90.52%-88.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,822.261,804.041,786.001,768.141,750.461,732.951,784.94
Payout Ratio60.36%66.29%72.22%78.15%84.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,100.001,195.931,289.831,381.731,471.661,559.661,651.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.66%9.66%9.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,079.601,090.621,101.64
Year 2 PV (M)1,051.111,072.681,094.45
Year 3 PV (M)1,016.481,047.921,080.00
Year 4 PV (M)977.341,017.841,059.60
Year 5 PV (M)935.03983.721,034.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,871.8615,646.2716,452.61
Equity Value (M)19,931.4320,859.0521,822.72
Shares Outstanding (M)1,250.031,250.031,250.03
Fair Value$15.94$16.69$17.46
Upside / Downside-87.24%-86.65%-86.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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