DDM Analysis: JBL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$45.24 - $66.05	$55.29
Multi-Stage	$59.21 - $64.99	$62.04
Blended Fair Value	$58.67
Current Price	$204.83
Upside	-71.36%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-6.53%	-5.46%	0.32	0.38	0.40	0.43	0.45	0.45	0.47	0.52	0.54	0.56
YoY Growth	-	-	-14.29%	-6.67%	-6.25%	-4.00%	-0.92%	-2.97%	-10.08%	-3.55%	-3.97%	-1.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.16%	0.28%	0.35%	0.60%	0.77%	1.18%	1.20%	2.08%	1.86%	2.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	657.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	621.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	131.40	82.13	49.28
Cash Retained (M)	621.00	621.00	621.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-131.40	-82.13	-49.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)	489.60	538.88	571.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	111.45	111.45	111.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.39	4.84	5.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.32	0.32	0.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.39	4.84	5.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.72	5.16	5.45
WACC / Discount Rate	10.20%	10.20%	10.20%
Growth Rate	-0.21%	0.79%	1.79%
Fair Value	$45.24	$55.29	$66.05
Upside / Downside	-77.91%	-73.01%	-67.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	657.00	662.22	667.48	672.79	678.13	683.52	704.03
Payout Ratio	5.48%	22.38%	39.29%	56.19%	73.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36.00	148.23	262.24	378.05	495.69	615.17	651.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.20%	10.20%	10.20%
Growth Rate	-0.21%	0.79%	1.79%
Year 1 PV (M)	133.18	134.51	135.85
Year 2 PV (M)	211.68	215.95	220.25
Year 3 PV (M)	274.18	282.50	291.00
Year 4 PV (M)	322.99	336.13	349.67
Year 5 PV (M)	360.14	378.55	397.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,296.32	5,567.05	5,848.74
Equity Value (M)	6,598.48	6,914.69	7,243.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	111.45	111.45	111.45
Fair Value	$59.21	$62.04	$64.99
Upside / Downside	-71.10%	-69.71%	-68.27%

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Jabil Inc. (JBL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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