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Definitive Analysis

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Türkiye Is Bankasi A.S. (ISCTR.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$120.60 - $436.04$382.29
Multi-Stage$54.48 - $59.65$57.02
Blended Fair Value$219.65
Current Price$14.15
Upside1,452.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS125.91%25.56%0.310.500.080.040.010.010.080.070.050.04
YoY Growth---38.33%554.76%72.99%475.41%46.38%-93.13%16.17%33.62%20.79%28.45%
Dividend Yield--2.49%4.31%1.46%6.89%2.19%1.53%18.55%12.63%10.24%12.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54,817.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,977.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)45,839.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,963.526,852.204,111.32
Cash Retained (M)45,839.7445,839.7445,839.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,963.52-6,852.20-4,111.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)34,876.2238,987.5441,728.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25,001.8925,001.8925,001.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.391.561.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.391.561.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.751.922.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$120.60$382.29$436.04
Upside / Downside752.27%2,601.67%2,981.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54,817.5858,380.7362,175.4766,216.8870,520.9875,104.8477,357.98
Payout Ratio16.38%31.10%45.83%60.55%75.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,977.8418,157.6528,492.9140,095.0353,085.0467,594.3671,556.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16,805.0216,964.3017,123.59
Year 2 PV (M)24,405.9224,870.7825,340.03
Year 3 PV (M)31,785.4432,697.8833,627.63
Year 4 PV (M)38,948.3540,446.1941,986.83
Year 5 PV (M)45,899.3548,116.3150,418.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,204,363.121,262,534.311,322,931.85
Equity Value (M)1,362,207.201,425,629.781,491,428.04
Shares Outstanding (M)25,001.8925,001.8925,001.89
Fair Value$54.48$57.02$59.65
Upside / Downside285.05%302.97%321.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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