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Definitive Analysis

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INVEX Controladora, S.A.B. de C.V. (INVEXA.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$892.21 - $4,968.80$1,707.62
Multi-Stage$500.35 - $547.89$523.68
Blended Fair Value$1,115.65
Current Price$90.00
Upside1,139.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.05%0.00%0.590.540.500.870.000.380.350.300.280.26
YoY Growth--8.33%8.74%-42.86%0.00%-100.00%10.00%13.64%7.32%10.81%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.69%0.66%0.66%1.19%0.00%0.51%0.49%0.45%0.53%0.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,609.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,609.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)721.89451.18270.71
Cash Retained (M)3,609.283,609.283,609.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-721.89-451.18-270.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,887.393,158.103,338.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.47144.47144.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share19.9921.8623.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share19.9921.8623.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.9921.8623.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$892.21$1,707.62$4,968.80
Upside / Downside891.35%1,797.35%5,420.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,609.473,844.084,093.954,360.054,643.464,945.285,093.64
Payout Ratio0.01%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.19692.091,473.952,354.523,343.344,450.754,711.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)635.61641.64647.66
Year 2 PV (M)1,243.191,266.871,290.78
Year 3 PV (M)1,823.841,876.201,929.55
Year 4 PV (M)2,378.452,469.922,564.00
Year 5 PV (M)2,907.883,048.333,194.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,294.8566,352.0269,526.19
Equity Value (M)72,283.8475,654.9879,152.34
Shares Outstanding (M)144.47144.47144.47
Fair Value$500.35$523.68$547.89
Upside / Downside455.94%481.87%508.76%

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