Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$510.46 - $2,221.13$1,229.31
Multi-Stage$252.86 - $276.97$264.69
Blended Fair Value$747.00
Current Price$2,200.00
Upside-66.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.48%-0.85%4.633.221.950.700.981.430.800.760.180.00
YoY Growth--43.75%64.64%181.17%-29.00%-31.49%78.39%5.23%327.26%24,142.50%-99.99%
Dividend Yield--1.52%0.86%0.63%0.25%0.74%1.48%1.04%0.85%0.21%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)607,771.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,722.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)605,048.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)121,554.2675,971.4145,582.85
Cash Retained (M)605,048.80605,048.80605,048.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-121,554.26-75,971.41-45,582.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)483,494.54529,077.39559,465.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54,418.5054,418.5054,418.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.889.7210.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.889.7210.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.939.7710.33
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$510.46$1,229.31$2,221.13
Upside / Downside-76.80%-44.12%0.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)607,771.30647,276.43689,349.40734,157.11781,877.32832,699.35857,680.33
Payout Ratio0.45%18.36%36.27%54.18%72.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,722.50118,829.33250,018.54397,760.30563,652.15749,429.41793,354.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)109,657.44110,696.85111,736.26
Year 2 PV (M)212,912.50216,967.89221,061.53
Year 3 PV (M)312,582.64321,555.77330,698.99
Year 4 PV (M)408,760.64424,480.43440,649.31
Year 5 PV (M)501,537.16525,761.59550,913.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,214,842.0012,804,823.4413,417,384.85
Equity Value (M)13,760,292.3914,404,285.9615,072,444.09
Shares Outstanding (M)54,418.5054,418.5054,418.50
Fair Value$252.86$264.69$276.97
Upside / Downside-88.51%-87.97%-87.41%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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