Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hammond Manufacturing Company Limited (HMM-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$257.39 - $303.25$284.19
Multi-Stage$169.61 - $186.18$177.74
Blended Fair Value$230.97
Current Price$10.11
Upside2,184.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.42%11.60%0.060.060.060.040.040.040.040.020.020.02
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%50.11%0.00%-0.22%0.44%100.00%0.00%0.00%-0.44%
Dividend Yield--0.71%0.52%0.97%0.99%1.16%2.82%2.02%0.87%1.09%0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.462.161.30
Cash Retained (M)16.6116.6116.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.46-2.16-1.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.1614.4515.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3411.3411.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.271.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.271.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.221.331.41
WACC / Discount Rate2.85%2.85%2.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$257.39$284.19$303.25
Upside / Downside2,445.91%2,710.99%2,899.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.2918.4219.6220.8922.2523.6924.41
Payout Ratio3.93%21.15%38.36%55.57%72.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.683.897.5211.6116.1921.3222.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.85%2.85%2.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.753.793.82
Year 2 PV (M)6.987.117.25
Year 3 PV (M)10.3710.6710.97
Year 4 PV (M)13.9314.4715.02
Year 5 PV (M)17.6718.5319.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,870.941,961.312,055.13
Equity Value (M)1,923.652,015.872,111.61
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3411.3411.34
Fair Value$169.61$177.74$186.18
Upside / Downside1,577.65%1,658.08%1,741.57%

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