Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd. (GSFI.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.90 - $73.50$46.61
Multi-Stage$23.80 - $25.94$24.85
Blended Fair Value$35.73
Current Price$8.76
Upside307.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.53%3.39%0.730.000.290.000.000.510.930.500.470.31
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-45.02%84.06%7.78%50.91%-41.03%
Dividend Yield--8.84%0.00%9.05%0.00%0.00%9.41%9.23%5.45%4.97%4.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.813.001.80
Cash Retained (M)9.959.959.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.81-3.00-1.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.156.958.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.5415.5415.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.450.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.450.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.351.43
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.90$46.61$73.50
Upside / Downside264.17%432.08%739.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.0425.6027.2729.0430.9332.9433.92
Payout Ratio58.60%64.88%71.16%77.44%83.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0916.6119.4022.4925.8929.6431.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)15.0115.1615.30
Year 2 PV (M)15.8516.1516.46
Year 3 PV (M)16.6117.0817.57
Year 4 PV (M)17.2817.9518.63
Year 5 PV (M)17.8918.7519.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)287.18301.05315.45
Equity Value (M)369.82386.14403.05
Shares Outstanding (M)15.5415.5415.54
Fair Value$23.80$24.85$25.94
Upside / Downside171.70%183.69%196.11%

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