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Genworth Financial, Inc. (GNW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.21 - $4.51$3.85
Multi-Stage$5.39 - $5.94$5.66
Blended Fair Value$4.76
Current Price$8.90
Upside-46.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.74%0.00%0.050.000.000.000.000.210.230.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-10.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.22%5.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)220.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)215.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.0027.5016.50
Cash Retained (M)215.00215.00215.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.00-27.50-16.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)171.00187.50198.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)421.18421.18421.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.460.48
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate-3.51%-2.51%-1.51%
Fair Value$3.21$3.85$4.51
Upside / Downside-63.93%-56.69%-49.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)220.00214.49209.11203.87198.76193.78199.60
Payout Ratio2.27%19.82%37.36%54.91%72.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.0042.5178.13111.94144.01174.40184.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate-3.51%-2.51%-1.51%
Year 1 PV (M)38.5838.9839.38
Year 2 PV (M)64.3565.7067.05
Year 3 PV (M)83.6886.3188.99
Year 4 PV (M)97.70101.82106.06
Year 5 PV (M)107.38113.06118.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,877.391,976.712,080.19
Equity Value (M)2,269.092,382.582,500.65
Shares Outstanding (M)421.18421.18421.18
Fair Value$5.39$5.66$5.94
Upside / Downside-39.47%-36.44%-33.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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