Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Globrands Ltd. (GLRS.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$402.63 - $599.22$496.29
Multi-Stage$806.79 - $884.35$844.82
Blended Fair Value$670.56
Current Price$488.00
Upside37.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.59%0.00%45.1549.1143.5654.6567.3251.4853.0748.3151.2842.77
YoY Growth---8.06%12.73%-20.29%-18.82%30.77%-2.99%9.84%-5.79%19.91%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.25%12.27%11.90%13.10%15.55%16.11%14.64%8.19%8.69%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.527.824.69
Cash Retained (M)4.584.584.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.52-7.82-4.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)-7.94-3.25-0.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.261.261.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share-6.29-2.57-0.09
LTM Dividend per Share45.9445.9445.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share-6.29-2.57-0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend39.6543.3745.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$402.63$496.29$599.22
Upside / Downside-17.49%1.70%22.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.5861.9561.3360.7260.1159.5161.29
Payout Ratio92.69%92.15%91.61%91.07%90.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.0057.0956.1955.3054.4253.5656.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)52.4953.0353.57
Year 2 PV (M)47.5148.4849.47
Year 3 PV (M)43.0044.3345.68
Year 4 PV (M)38.9140.5242.19
Year 5 PV (M)35.2137.0538.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)801.52843.26886.72
Equity Value (M)1,018.651,066.671,116.58
Shares Outstanding (M)1.261.261.26
Fair Value$806.79$844.82$884.35
Upside / Downside65.33%73.12%81.22%

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