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Flexopack Société Anonyme Commercial and Industrial Plastics Company (FLEXO.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$175.28 - $337.36$316.16
Multi-Stage$51.92 - $56.88$54.36
Blended Fair Value$185.26
Current Price$8.00
Upside2,215.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%14.35%0.150.150.130.090.060.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%11.00%57.37%36.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.84%1.89%1.70%1.23%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.022.511.51
Cash Retained (M)16.5616.5616.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.02-2.51-1.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.5414.0515.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.8411.8411.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.061.191.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.061.191.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$175.28$316.16$337.36
Upside / Downside2,091.06%3,851.94%4,116.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.0921.3922.7824.2725.8427.5228.35
Payout Ratio17.58%32.07%46.55%61.03%75.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.536.8610.6114.8119.5224.7726.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.396.456.51
Year 2 PV (M)9.219.389.56
Year 3 PV (M)11.9812.3212.67
Year 4 PV (M)14.7115.2715.86
Year 5 PV (M)17.4018.2419.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)555.21582.03609.88
Equity Value (M)614.90643.70673.59
Shares Outstanding (M)11.8411.8411.84
Fair Value$51.92$54.36$56.88
Upside / Downside549.05%579.45%611.00%

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