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Definitive Analysis

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F&C Investment Trust PLC (FCIT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.96 - $46.49$36.88
Multi-Stage$33.68 - $36.92$35.27
Blended Fair Value$36.08
Current Price$11.08
Upside225.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.08%3.78%0.150.140.140.130.130.120.120.110.110.11
YoY Growth--5.24%4.14%5.19%4.47%1.39%5.74%5.96%3.04%0.57%2.19%
Dividend Yield--1.38%1.51%1.54%1.43%1.61%1.63%1.86%1.73%1.99%2.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,326.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)133.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,192.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)265.24165.7899.47
Cash Retained (M)1,192.571,192.571,192.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-265.24-165.78-99.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)927.331,026.801,093.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)496.17496.17496.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.872.072.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.872.072.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.142.342.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.45%9.45%9.45%
Growth Rate1.93%2.93%3.93%
Fair Value$28.96$36.88$46.49
Upside / Downside161.34%232.86%319.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,326.201,365.021,404.971,446.091,488.411,531.971,577.93
Payout Ratio10.08%26.06%42.05%58.03%74.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)133.63355.73590.73839.171,101.651,378.771,459.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.45%9.45%9.45%
Growth Rate1.93%2.93%3.93%
Year 1 PV (M)321.85325.01328.17
Year 2 PV (M)483.55493.09502.72
Year 3 PV (M)621.50639.97658.80
Year 4 PV (M)738.18767.58797.85
Year 5 PV (M)835.88877.69921.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,711.1614,397.0815,110.19
Equity Value (M)16,712.1117,500.4218,318.89
Shares Outstanding (M)496.17496.17496.17
Fair Value$33.68$35.27$36.92
Upside / Downside203.99%218.33%233.22%

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