Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DSV A/S (DSV.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,131.24 - $3,243.34$1,770.50
Multi-Stage$751.38 - $821.44$785.77
Blended Fair Value$1,278.13
Current Price$1,522.00
Upside-16.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.37%18.96%6.876.385.914.122.631.891.701.531.461.27
YoY Growth--7.65%7.88%43.48%56.46%39.01%11.32%11.11%4.59%15.55%4.81%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.56%0.45%0.32%0.21%0.31%0.31%0.32%0.41%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,160.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,683.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,477.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,032.001,270.00762.00
Cash Retained (M)8,477.008,477.008,477.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,032.00-1,270.00-762.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,445.007,207.007,715.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)223.26223.26223.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.8732.2834.56
LTM Dividend per Share7.547.547.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.8732.2834.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend36.4139.8242.09
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,131.24$1,770.50$3,243.34
Upside / Downside-25.67%16.33%113.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,160.0010,820.4011,523.7312,272.7713,070.5013,920.0814,337.68
Payout Ratio16.56%31.25%45.94%60.63%75.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,683.003,381.595,293.887,440.499,843.7812,528.0713,262.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.90%8.90%8.90%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,076.203,105.363,134.52
Year 2 PV (M)4,380.894,464.344,548.57
Year 3 PV (M)5,601.235,762.035,925.86
Year 4 PV (M)6,741.227,000.477,267.12
Year 5 PV (M)7,804.688,181.648,573.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)140,149.95146,919.24153,947.61
Equity Value (M)167,754.17175,433.07183,396.73
Shares Outstanding (M)223.26223.26223.26
Fair Value$751.38$785.77$821.44
Upside / Downside-50.63%-48.37%-46.03%

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