Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Israel Discount Bank Limited (DSCT.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$139.01 - $682.42$295.14
Multi-Stage$74.78 - $81.82$78.24
Blended Fair Value$186.69
Current Price$33.56
Upside456.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.23%0.00%0.910.830.490.110.040.200.090.000.000.00
YoY Growth--10.12%69.69%328.47%193.88%-80.78%116.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.55%4.26%2.78%0.57%0.28%1.92%0.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,337.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)969.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,368.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)867.40542.13325.28
Cash Retained (M)3,368.003,368.003,368.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-867.40-542.13-325.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,500.602,825.883,042.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,263.921,263.921,263.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.982.242.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.770.770.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.982.242.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.753.003.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$139.01$295.14$682.42
Upside / Downside314.20%779.44%1,933.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,337.004,618.914,919.135,238.885,579.405,942.076,120.33
Payout Ratio22.34%35.87%49.41%62.94%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)969.001,656.992,430.333,297.204,266.495,347.865,661.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,525.731,540.191,554.65
Year 2 PV (M)2,060.532,099.782,139.40
Year 3 PV (M)2,574.052,647.942,723.24
Year 4 PV (M)3,066.913,184.853,306.17
Year 5 PV (M)3,539.713,710.683,888.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)81,754.9785,703.7689,803.69
Equity Value (M)94,521.8998,887.20103,415.33
Shares Outstanding (M)1,263.921,263.921,263.92
Fair Value$74.78$78.24$81.82
Upside / Downside122.84%133.13%143.81%

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