Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Diploma PLC (DPLM.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67.23 - $347.99$136.25
Multi-Stage$38.21 - $41.75$39.95
Blended Fair Value$88.10
Current Price$38.46
Upside129.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.85%15.49%0.570.520.420.390.170.220.200.170.160.15
YoY Growth--8.94%25.44%6.24%128.02%-22.15%11.19%14.04%11.90%6.60%8.24%
Dividend Yield--1.29%1.74%1.80%1.38%0.78%1.33%1.40%1.64%1.77%2.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.1229.4517.67
Cash Retained (M)108.45108.45108.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.12-29.45-17.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)61.3379.0090.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)134.64134.64134.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.590.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.590.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$67.23$136.25$347.99
Upside / Downside74.80%254.27%804.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235.60250.91267.22284.59303.09322.79332.48
Payout Ratio53.97%61.17%68.38%75.59%82.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.15153.50182.73215.12250.94290.51307.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.70%7.70%7.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)141.19142.53143.86
Year 2 PV (M)154.60157.55160.52
Year 3 PV (M)167.41172.21177.11
Year 4 PV (M)179.63186.54193.64
Year 5 PV (M)191.28200.52210.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,311.274,519.514,735.71
Equity Value (M)5,145.375,378.845,620.96
Shares Outstanding (M)134.64134.64134.64
Fair Value$38.21$39.95$41.75
Upside / Downside-0.64%3.87%8.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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