Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DOF Group ASA (DOFG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.67 - $20.39$16.87
Multi-Stage$25.60 - $28.19$26.87
Blended Fair Value$21.87
Current Price$88.90
Upside-75.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.020.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---72.51%8.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.02%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)376.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)304.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.2047.0028.20
Cash Retained (M)304.00304.00304.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.20-47.00-28.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)228.80257.00275.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.52225.52225.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.011.141.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.011.141.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13.67$16.87$20.39
Upside / Downside-84.63%-81.03%-77.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)376.00372.24368.52364.83361.18357.57368.30
Payout Ratio19.15%33.32%47.49%61.66%75.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.00124.03175.01224.95273.89321.82340.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)114.14115.31116.47
Year 2 PV (M)148.22151.26154.33
Year 3 PV (M)175.34180.76186.29
Year 4 PV (M)196.46204.60212.99
Year 5 PV (M)212.44223.50235.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,927.755,184.355,451.53
Equity Value (M)5,774.346,059.786,356.63
Shares Outstanding (M)225.52225.52225.52
Fair Value$25.60$26.87$28.19
Upside / Downside-71.20%-69.77%-68.29%

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