Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S (DNORD.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115.82 - $330.68$181.05
Multi-Stage$77.79 - $85.00$81.33
Blended Fair Value$131.19
Current Price$31.70
Upside313.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.30%6.75%2.4310.3712.631.780.490.400.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---76.53%-17.89%609.81%263.01%21.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--9.67%24.99%18.86%5.06%2.12%3.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)103.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8417.4010.44
Cash Retained (M)103.80103.80103.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.84-17.40-10.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.9686.4093.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.552.903.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.552.903.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.744.094.32
WACC / Discount Rate8.91%8.91%8.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$115.82$181.05$330.68
Upside / Downside265.36%471.13%943.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.20148.25157.88168.15179.08190.72196.44
Payout Ratio25.43%38.34%51.26%64.17%77.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.4056.8580.93107.90138.04171.64181.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.91%8.91%8.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.7152.2052.69
Year 2 PV (M)66.9668.2469.52
Year 3 PV (M)81.2183.5485.91
Year 4 PV (M)94.5098.13101.87
Year 5 PV (M)106.88112.04117.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,916.072,008.622,104.70
Equity Value (M)2,317.332,422.772,532.11
Shares Outstanding (M)29.7929.7929.79
Fair Value$77.79$81.33$85.00
Upside / Downside145.39%156.56%168.13%

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