Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Y.H. Dimri Construction & Development Ltd (DIMRI.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$958.14 - $5,466.74$1,802.17
Multi-Stage$555.73 - $607.81$581.29
Blended Fair Value$1,191.73
Current Price$381.50
Upside212.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.87%16.27%7.723.615.233.911.712.441.711.711.371.47
YoY Growth--113.51%-30.84%33.75%128.57%-30.00%42.86%0.00%25.00%-6.67%-14.29%
Dividend Yield--2.57%1.26%2.56%1.32%0.94%2.49%2.88%2.72%2.17%2.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)562.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)132.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)430.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.5570.3442.21
Cash Retained (M)430.75430.75430.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.55-70.34-42.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)318.20360.40388.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.4720.4720.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.5417.6018.98
LTM Dividend per Share6.456.456.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.5417.6018.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.9924.0525.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$958.14$1,802.17$5,466.74
Upside / Downside151.15%372.39%1,332.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)562.75599.33638.28679.77723.96771.01794.14
Payout Ratio23.46%36.77%50.07%63.38%76.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)132.00220.34319.61430.86555.21693.91734.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)202.25204.17206.09
Year 2 PV (M)269.29274.42279.59
Year 3 PV (M)333.21342.78352.52
Year 4 PV (M)394.13409.29424.88
Year 5 PV (M)452.15473.99496.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,725.9210,195.6910,683.43
Equity Value (M)11,376.9511,900.3212,443.17
Shares Outstanding (M)20.4720.4720.47
Fair Value$555.73$581.29$607.81
Upside / Downside45.67%52.37%59.32%

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