Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Concentric AB (publ) (COIC.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$286.53 - $1,495.19$577.00
Multi-Stage$211.31 - $231.34$221.14
Blended Fair Value$399.07
Current Price$180.20
Upside121.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.53%3.29%4.053.793.553.284.373.953.793.573.393.23
YoY Growth--7.04%6.77%8.13%-25.00%10.81%4.23%5.97%5.51%4.96%10.00%
Dividend Yield--2.11%1.79%1.73%1.90%4.51%2.57%2.58%2.60%3.68%2.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)285.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)158.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)127.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.0035.6321.38
Cash Retained (M)127.00127.00127.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.00-35.63-21.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.0091.38105.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.4937.4937.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.872.442.82
LTM Dividend per Share4.214.214.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.872.442.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.086.657.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.33%5.33%6.33%
Fair Value$286.53$577.00$1,495.19
Upside / Downside59.01%220.20%729.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)285.00300.18316.16333.00350.73369.41380.49
Payout Ratio55.44%62.35%69.26%76.18%83.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)158.00187.16218.98253.66291.42332.47351.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.33%5.33%6.33%
Year 1 PV (M)174.01175.67177.34
Year 2 PV (M)189.28192.93196.61
Year 3 PV (M)203.84209.76215.79
Year 4 PV (M)217.72226.19234.90
Year 5 PV (M)230.93242.21253.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,907.067,244.507,595.01
Equity Value (M)7,922.848,291.278,673.58
Shares Outstanding (M)37.4937.4937.49
Fair Value$211.31$221.14$231.34
Upside / Downside17.27%22.72%28.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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