Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cardiff Property Plc (CDFF.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.36 - $21.75$18.51
Multi-Stage$22.84 - $25.09$23.94
Blended Fair Value$21.23
Current Price$26.00
Upside-18.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.230.220.200.200.210.200.190.180.17
YoY Growth---100.00%4.44%7.14%-0.47%-0.94%1.43%5.00%9.29%5.17%1.75%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.99%0.89%0.79%1.09%1.19%1.16%1.06%1.08%1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.490.300.18
Cash Retained (M)2.022.022.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.49-0.30-0.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.531.711.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.041.041.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.481.651.77
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.481.651.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.882.052.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.36$18.51$21.75
Upside / Downside-40.94%-28.79%-16.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.432.402.382.362.332.312.38
Payout Ratio16.92%31.54%46.15%60.77%75.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.410.761.101.431.762.082.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.680.690.70
Year 2 PV (M)0.890.910.93
Year 3 PV (M)1.041.081.11
Year 4 PV (M)1.151.201.25
Year 5 PV (M)1.231.291.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)18.6619.6320.64
Equity Value (M)23.6624.8025.99
Shares Outstanding (M)1.041.041.04
Fair Value$22.84$23.94$25.09
Upside / Downside-12.16%-7.92%-3.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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