Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co. Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien (BVB.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.96 - $50.08$30.22
Multi-Stage$6.73 - $7.38$7.05
Blended Fair Value$18.64
Current Price$3.62
Upside414.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.71%0.76%0.060.000.000.000.000.050.050.050.050.04
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%20.00%-25.11%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.00%0.56%0.65%0.63%0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.573.482.09
Cash Retained (M)21.2521.2521.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.57-3.48-2.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6817.7719.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)110.10110.10110.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Fair Value$11.96$30.22$50.08
Upside / Downside230.49%734.89%1,283.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.8729.5331.2833.1435.1037.1938.30
Payout Ratio23.76%37.01%50.26%63.50%76.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.6210.9315.7221.0426.9433.4735.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Year 1 PV (M)10.1410.2410.34
Year 2 PV (M)13.5513.8014.07
Year 3 PV (M)16.8317.3217.81
Year 4 PV (M)20.0020.7821.57
Year 5 PV (M)23.0724.1925.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)657.78689.72722.90
Equity Value (M)741.37776.05812.03
Shares Outstanding (M)110.10110.10110.10
Fair Value$6.73$7.05$7.38
Upside / Downside86.02%94.72%103.75%

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