Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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British Smaller Companies VCT plc (BSV.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.54 - $0.79$0.66
Multi-Stage$0.75 - $0.82$0.78
Blended Fair Value$0.72
Current Price$0.76
Upside-4.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS23.28%15.83%0.050.030.040.030.010.020.010.010.020.02
YoY Growth--108.07%-37.46%25.80%141.93%-28.09%27.17%-0.79%-16.53%-24.63%92.33%
Dividend Yield--6.83%3.14%5.15%3.89%1.88%2.60%2.02%1.95%2.22%2.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.132.581.55
Cash Retained (M)11.8611.8611.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.13-2.58-1.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.749.2810.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)303.34303.34303.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.060.06
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-0.14%0.86%1.86%
Fair Value$0.54$0.66$0.79
Upside / Downside-29.04%-13.04%4.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.6320.8120.9921.1721.3521.5322.18
Payout Ratio42.50%52.00%61.50%71.00%80.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.7710.8212.9115.0317.1819.3820.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-0.14%0.86%1.86%
Year 1 PV (M)9.749.849.93
Year 2 PV (M)10.4610.6710.88
Year 3 PV (M)10.9611.2911.63
Year 4 PV (M)11.2811.7412.21
Year 5 PV (M)11.4512.0312.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)173.12181.96191.16
Equity Value (M)227.00237.52248.46
Shares Outstanding (M)303.34303.34303.34
Fair Value$0.75$0.78$0.82
Upside / Downside-0.88%3.71%8.49%

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