Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Bright Outdoor Media Limited (BRIGHT.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$153.38 - $217.16$184.88
Multi-Stage$222.72 - $244.91$233.60
Blended Fair Value$209.24
Current Price$317.27
Upside-34.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.600.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)286.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.2335.7721.46
Cash Retained (M)275.21275.21275.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.23-35.77-21.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)217.99239.45253.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.1912.1912.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.8919.6520.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.8919.6520.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.7820.5421.72
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$153.38$184.88$217.16
Upside / Downside-51.66%-41.73%-31.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)286.13283.26280.43277.63274.85272.10280.27
Payout Ratio3.81%21.05%38.29%55.53%72.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.9159.63107.37154.15199.99244.89259.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)53.6654.2154.76
Year 2 PV (M)86.9588.7490.54
Year 3 PV (M)112.34115.82119.36
Year 4 PV (M)131.16136.60142.20
Year 5 PV (M)144.53152.06159.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,185.772,299.592,418.10
Equity Value (M)2,714.422,847.012,984.85
Shares Outstanding (M)12.1912.1912.19
Fair Value$222.72$233.60$244.91
Upside / Downside-29.80%-26.37%-22.81%

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