Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Batavia Prosperindo Internasional Tbk (BPII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$118.59 - $183.17$148.57
Multi-Stage$261.86 - $288.62$274.97
Blended Fair Value$211.77
Current Price$550.00
Upside-61.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%10.055.456.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--84.40%-9.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.88%1.03%1.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126,635.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,935.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)104,699.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25,327.0115,829.389,497.63
Cash Retained (M)104,699.31104,699.31104,699.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-25,327.01-15,829.38-9,497.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)79,372.2988,869.9295,201.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,884.849,884.849,884.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.038.999.63
LTM Dividend per Share2.222.222.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.038.999.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.2511.2111.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.47%6.47%6.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$118.59$148.57$183.17
Upside / Downside-78.44%-72.99%-66.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126,635.07125,368.72124,115.03122,873.88121,645.14120,428.69124,041.55
Payout Ratio17.32%31.86%46.39%60.93%75.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,935.7639,939.4957,580.9674,865.6091,798.79108,385.82114,738.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.47%6.47%6.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)37,133.6437,512.5537,891.46
Year 2 PV (M)49,774.7050,795.7051,827.06
Year 3 PV (M)60,169.5862,030.3763,929.13
Year 4 PV (M)68,595.6471,438.6174,369.05
Year 5 PV (M)75,300.3579,221.4183,304.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,297,433.982,417,066.692,541,631.95
Equity Value (M)2,588,407.892,718,065.332,852,952.79
Shares Outstanding (M)9,884.849,884.849,884.84
Fair Value$261.86$274.97$288.62
Upside / Downside-52.39%-50.00%-47.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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