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B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited (BGRIM-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.69 - $48.43$27.31
Multi-Stage$20.85 - $22.85$21.83
Blended Fair Value$24.57
Current Price$13.70
Upside79.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.38%5.26%0.360.220.300.450.370.320.450.050.170.52
YoY Growth--67.44%-28.33%-33.33%21.62%15.63%-28.89%869.83%-72.25%-67.86%141.30%
Dividend Yield--3.53%0.78%0.74%1.28%0.81%0.81%1.44%0.18%1.04%3.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,968.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,120.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)847.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)393.75246.09147.65
Cash Retained (M)847.76847.76847.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-393.75-246.09-147.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)454.02601.67700.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,606.902,606.902,606.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.660.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate2.82%3.82%4.82%
Fair Value$17.69$27.31$48.43
Upside / Downside29.11%99.35%253.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,968.732,044.012,122.162,203.302,287.552,375.012,446.26
Payout Ratio56.94%63.55%70.16%76.78%83.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,120.971,298.981,488.971,691.591,907.532,137.512,262.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate2.82%3.82%4.82%
Year 1 PV (M)1,209.821,221.591,233.35
Year 2 PV (M)1,291.591,316.831,342.32
Year 3 PV (M)1,366.631,406.891,447.94
Year 4 PV (M)1,435.311,491.961,550.28
Year 5 PV (M)1,497.951,572.231,649.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,540.5349,897.6952,347.43
Equity Value (M)54,341.8356,907.1959,570.73
Shares Outstanding (M)2,606.902,606.902,606.90
Fair Value$20.85$21.83$22.85
Upside / Downside52.16%59.34%66.80%

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