Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bauer AG (B5A.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.52 - $42.40$23.95
Multi-Stage$57.13 - $63.12$60.07
Blended Fair Value$42.01
Current Price$6.10
Upside588.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS-16.86%-19.80%0.050.080.110.100.090.120.120.110.250.38
YoY Growth---42.42%-26.31%17.66%6.94%-25.58%0.99%9.44%-56.41%-33.78%-13.12%
Dividend Yield--0.52%0.75%1.13%0.61%0.47%0.85%0.82%0.61%1.31%1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.622.261.36
Cash Retained (M)17.2117.2117.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.62-2.26-1.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.5914.9515.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.570.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.570.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate2.03%2.03%2.03%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Fair Value$15.52$23.95$42.40
Upside / Downside154.45%292.67%595.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.1218.0317.9417.8517.7717.6818.21
Payout Ratio5.00%22.00%39.00%56.00%73.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.913.977.0010.0012.9715.9116.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.03%2.03%2.03%
Growth Rate-1.49%-0.49%0.51%
Year 1 PV (M)3.853.893.93
Year 2 PV (M)6.596.726.86
Year 3 PV (M)9.139.419.70
Year 4 PV (M)11.4911.9712.45
Year 5 PV (M)13.6814.3915.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,448.171,523.181,601.26
Equity Value (M)1,492.901,569.551,649.32
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
Fair Value$57.13$60.07$63.12
Upside / Downside836.64%884.72%934.77%

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