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Definitive Analysis

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Ayalon Insurance Company Ltd (AYAL.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$182.46 - $321.17$241.37
Multi-Stage$190.22 - $207.78$198.84
Blended Fair Value$220.11
Current Price$67.41
Upside226.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.320.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)165.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)180.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.1943.2525.95
Cash Retained (M)180.96180.96180.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.19-43.25-25.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)111.77137.72155.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.9025.9025.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.325.325.99
LTM Dividend per Share6.376.376.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.325.325.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.6911.6912.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Fair Value$182.46$241.37$321.17
Upside / Downside170.67%258.06%376.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.96361.02376.73393.12410.23428.08440.93
Payout Ratio47.69%56.15%64.62%73.08%81.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)165.00202.73243.43287.28334.50385.28407.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate3.35%4.35%5.35%
Year 1 PV (M)183.52185.30187.08
Year 2 PV (M)199.49203.37207.29
Year 3 PV (M)213.13219.38225.75
Year 4 PV (M)224.65233.48242.55
Year 5 PV (M)234.25245.80257.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,871.534,062.484,260.90
Equity Value (M)4,926.585,149.815,381.38
Shares Outstanding (M)25.9025.9025.90
Fair Value$190.22$198.84$207.78
Upside / Downside182.19%194.97%208.24%

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