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Definitive Analysis

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Ashtead Technology Holdings Plc (AT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.89 - $8.98$7.33
Multi-Stage$12.07 - $13.31$12.68
Blended Fair Value$10.01
Current Price$4.43
Upside125.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--10.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.766.724.03
Cash Retained (M)51.9451.9451.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.76-6.72-4.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.1845.2147.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81.1881.1881.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.580.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.89$7.33$8.98
Upside / Downside32.85%65.55%102.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.7953.2552.7252.1951.6751.1552.68
Payout Ratio3.44%20.75%38.06%55.37%72.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.8511.0520.0628.9037.5646.0348.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10.2410.3410.45
Year 2 PV (M)17.2317.5817.94
Year 3 PV (M)22.9923.7124.43
Year 4 PV (M)27.6928.8430.02
Year 5 PV (M)31.4533.0934.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)870.26915.58962.77
Equity Value (M)979.871,029.141,080.40
Shares Outstanding (M)81.1881.1881.18
Fair Value$12.07$12.68$13.31
Upside / Downside172.47%186.17%200.42%

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