Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Media-Maker S.p.A. (ALKER.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.78 - $3.74$3.27
Multi-Stage$3.22 - $3.53$3.37
Blended Fair Value$3.32
Current Price$10.10
Upside-67.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.230.140.08
Cash Retained (M)1.111.111.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.23-0.14-0.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.880.971.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.002.002.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.480.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.480.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate13.95%13.95%13.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.78$3.27$3.74
Upside / Downside-72.52%-67.60%-62.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1.131.121.111.101.081.071.11
Payout Ratio1.99%19.59%37.20%54.80%72.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.020.220.410.600.790.971.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate13.95%13.95%13.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.190.190.19
Year 2 PV (M)0.310.320.32
Year 3 PV (M)0.390.410.42
Year 4 PV (M)0.450.470.49
Year 5 PV (M)0.480.500.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)4.624.875.12
Equity Value (M)6.446.757.07
Shares Outstanding (M)2.002.002.00
Fair Value$3.22$3.37$3.53
Upside / Downside-68.10%-66.59%-65.02%

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