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Definitive Analysis

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AFT Pharmaceuticals Limited (AFP.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.94 - $50.59$47.41
Multi-Stage$12.83 - $14.07$13.44
Blended Fair Value$30.43
Current Price$2.53
Upside1,102.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS24.28%8.20%0.020.010.000.000.000.010.000.000.000.02
YoY Growth--45.41%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-66.78%322.39%-67.48%0.00%-100.00%116.51%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.33%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.13%0.06%0.16%0.00%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.513.452.07
Cash Retained (M)24.7424.7424.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.51-3.45-2.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.2221.2922.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)108.38108.38108.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate5.05%5.05%5.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42.94$47.41$50.59
Upside / Downside1,597.24%1,773.96%1,899.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.5729.3631.2733.3035.4737.7738.91
Payout Ratio10.27%26.22%42.16%58.11%74.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.837.7013.1919.3526.2734.0035.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.05%5.05%5.05%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)7.267.337.40
Year 2 PV (M)11.7211.9512.17
Year 3 PV (M)16.2316.6917.17
Year 4 PV (M)20.7721.5722.39
Year 5 PV (M)25.3526.5827.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,309.561,372.811,438.48
Equity Value (M)1,390.891,456.921,525.46
Shares Outstanding (M)108.38108.38108.38
Fair Value$12.83$13.44$14.07
Upside / Downside407.24%431.32%456.31%

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