Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ximei Resources Holding Limited (9936.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.92 - $10.81$8.71
Multi-Stage$16.14 - $17.80$16.96
Blended Fair Value$12.83
Current Price$3.68
Upside248.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.090.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.57%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)258.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)233.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.6732.2919.38
Cash Retained (M)233.31233.31233.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.67-32.29-19.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)181.64201.02213.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.560.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.92$8.71$10.81
Upside / Downside87.99%136.74%193.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)258.34255.76253.20250.67248.16245.68253.05
Payout Ratio9.69%25.75%41.81%57.88%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.0365.86105.87145.07183.48221.11234.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)61.4162.0462.67
Year 2 PV (M)92.0693.9595.85
Year 3 PV (M)117.63121.27124.98
Year 4 PV (M)138.73144.48150.41
Year 5 PV (M)155.90164.01172.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,228.545,500.805,784.29
Equity Value (M)5,794.276,086.556,390.66
Shares Outstanding (M)358.94358.94358.94
Fair Value$16.14$16.96$17.80
Upside / Downside338.66%360.79%383.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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