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Definitive Analysis

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Nishio Rent All Co., Ltd. (9699.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14,405.13 - $80,753.38$26,286.99
Multi-Stage$10,290.53 - $11,268.18$10,770.32
Blended Fair Value$18,528.65
Current Price$4,290.00
Upside331.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.00111.9599.9284.9476.9169.9370.6552.3954.8448.11
YoY Growth---100.00%12.04%17.63%10.44%9.99%-1.02%34.85%-4.46%14.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.37%2.44%2.73%2.68%3.24%2.27%1.59%1.50%1.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,109.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,498.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,611.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,421.801,513.63908.18
Cash Retained (M)8,611.008,611.008,611.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,421.80-1,513.63-908.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,189.207,097.387,702.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.7727.7727.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share222.86255.56277.36
LTM Dividend per Share125.96125.96125.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share222.86255.56277.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend348.82381.52403.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate4.58%5.58%6.58%
Fair Value$14,405.13$26,286.99$80,753.38
Upside / Downside235.78%512.75%1,782.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,109.0012,784.2113,497.0614,249.6715,044.2415,883.1216,359.62
Payout Ratio28.89%41.11%53.33%65.56%77.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,498.005,255.607,198.339,341.3811,701.0414,294.8115,132.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate4.58%5.58%6.58%
Year 1 PV (M)4,860.334,906.804,953.28
Year 2 PV (M)6,156.286,274.586,394.01
Year 3 PV (M)7,388.247,602.237,820.30
Year 4 PV (M)8,558.518,890.609,232.25
Year 5 PV (M)9,669.3110,140.5510,629.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)249,150.97261,293.41273,904.72
Equity Value (M)285,783.65299,108.17312,934.54
Shares Outstanding (M)27.7727.7727.77
Fair Value$10,290.53$10,770.32$11,268.18
Upside / Downside139.87%151.06%162.66%

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