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Definitive Analysis

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Money Partners Group Co.,Ltd. (8732.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$193.13 - $301.41$243.04
Multi-Stage$390.66 - $429.34$409.62
Blended Fair Value$326.33
Current Price$219.00
Upside49.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.89%15.16%15.317.623.793.586.659.136.599.3511.455.17
YoY Growth--100.82%100.83%6.14%-46.23%-27.15%38.57%-29.53%-18.36%121.21%38.66%
Dividend Yield--6.05%2.82%1.45%1.57%3.34%3.04%1.70%1.85%2.28%1.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)639.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)358.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)281.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127.8079.8847.93
Cash Retained (M)281.00281.00281.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-127.80-79.88-47.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.20201.13233.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.8831.8831.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.806.317.31
LTM Dividend per Share11.2311.2311.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.806.317.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.0317.5418.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-1.32%-0.32%0.68%
Fair Value$193.13$243.04$301.41
Upside / Downside-11.81%10.98%37.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)639.00636.96634.93632.90630.88628.87647.74
Payout Ratio56.03%62.82%69.62%76.41%83.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)358.00400.14442.01483.60524.93565.98599.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-1.32%-0.32%0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)370.65374.41378.16
Year 2 PV (M)379.26386.98394.78
Year 3 PV (M)384.36396.17408.21
Year 4 PV (M)386.46402.37418.76
Year 5 PV (M)385.98405.94426.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,549.1811,094.6411,662.42
Equity Value (M)12,455.8913,060.4913,689.05
Shares Outstanding (M)31.8831.8831.88
Fair Value$390.66$409.62$429.34
Upside / Downside78.38%87.04%96.04%

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