Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bonny Worldwide Limited (8467.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.05 - $146.09$121.61
Multi-Stage$157.64 - $173.29$165.31
Blended Fair Value$143.46
Current Price$173.00
Upside-17.07%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.002.821.880.471.882.351.411.451.991.58
YoY Growth---100.00%50.00%300.00%-75.00%-20.00%66.67%-2.61%-27.15%25.93%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.46%3.16%1.24%4.03%5.94%4.04%4.53%5.07%2.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)659.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)556.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)131.9582.4749.48
Cash Retained (M)556.11556.11556.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-131.95-82.47-49.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)424.15473.64506.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.6052.6052.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.069.009.63
LTM Dividend per Share1.971.971.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.069.009.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.0310.9711.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Fair Value$99.05$121.61$146.09
Upside / Downside-42.74%-29.71%-15.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)659.77657.54655.31653.10650.88648.68668.14
Payout Ratio15.71%30.57%45.43%60.28%75.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.66201.01297.69393.72489.09583.81618.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Year 1 PV (M)183.14184.99186.85
Year 2 PV (M)247.12252.15257.24
Year 3 PV (M)297.78306.92316.26
Year 4 PV (M)337.03350.90365.20
Year 5 PV (M)366.54385.49405.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,861.057,215.877,585.23
Equity Value (M)8,292.648,696.349,116.00
Shares Outstanding (M)52.6052.6052.60
Fair Value$157.64$165.31$173.29
Upside / Downside-8.88%-4.44%0.17%

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