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Definitive Analysis

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ASICS Corporation (7936.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,083.59 - $23,661.87$22,174.64
Multi-Stage$13,404.21 - $14,711.82$14,045.80
Blended Fair Value$18,110.22
Current Price$3,872.00
Upside367.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.27%16.25%20.3112.527.169.204.606.339.386.236.226.22
YoY Growth--62.24%74.85%-22.20%100.03%-27.30%-32.51%50.61%0.07%0.00%38.14%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.72%0.76%1.55%1.04%2.53%2.48%1.26%1.39%1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85,180.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,796.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)69,384.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,036.0010,647.506,388.50
Cash Retained (M)69,384.0069,384.0069,384.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,036.00-10,647.50-6,388.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,348.0058,736.5062,995.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)715.93715.93715.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share73.1282.0487.99
LTM Dividend per Share22.0622.0622.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share73.1282.0487.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend95.18104.11110.06
WACC / Discount Rate2.65%2.65%2.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20,083.59$22,174.64$23,661.87
Upside / Downside418.69%472.69%511.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85,180.0090,716.7096,613.29102,893.15109,581.20116,703.98120,205.10
Payout Ratio18.54%32.84%47.13%61.42%75.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,796.0029,787.2045,530.5163,194.6182,962.67105,033.58111,189.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.65%2.65%2.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,747.0629,019.5429,292.02
Year 2 PV (M)42,406.2643,213.9844,029.32
Year 3 PV (M)56,802.9958,433.6060,095.12
Year 4 PV (M)71,967.7074,735.3877,582.12
Year 5 PV (M)87,931.9792,179.1296,588.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,308,576.229,758,183.9310,224,999.19
Equity Value (M)9,596,432.2010,055,765.5510,532,586.59
Shares Outstanding (M)715.93715.93715.93
Fair Value$13,404.21$14,045.80$14,711.82
Upside / Downside246.18%262.75%279.95%

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