Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yinson Holdings Berhad (7293.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.25 - $38.44$23.59
Multi-Stage$4.52 - $4.95$4.73
Blended Fair Value$14.16
Current Price$2.34
Upside505.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-10.11%11.40%0.010.030.030.020.020.020.040.020.060.01
YoY Growth---56.32%0.00%35.94%0.00%-1.17%-40.30%66.19%-63.91%1,003.39%26.97%
Dividend Yield--0.70%1.22%1.16%1.03%0.97%0.99%1.78%1.31%4.23%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)562.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)86.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)476.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.4070.2542.15
Cash Retained (M)476.00476.00476.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.40-70.25-42.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)363.60405.75433.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,907.302,907.302,907.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.25$23.59$38.44
Upside / Downside295.32%908.02%1,542.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)562.00598.53637.43678.87722.99769.99793.09
Payout Ratio15.30%30.24%45.18%60.12%75.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)86.00181.01288.00408.14542.68692.99733.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)167.17168.75170.33
Year 2 PV (M)245.64250.32255.04
Year 3 PV (M)321.49330.71340.12
Year 4 PV (M)394.77409.95425.57
Year 5 PV (M)465.56488.05511.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,559.1912,117.5112,697.19
Equity Value (M)13,153.8213,765.2914,399.65
Shares Outstanding (M)2,907.302,907.302,907.30
Fair Value$4.52$4.73$4.95
Upside / Downside93.35%102.34%111.66%

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