Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fast Fitness Japan Incorporated (7092.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,293.57 - $2,062.18$1,642.69
Multi-Stage$1,781.78 - $1,956.03$1,867.25
Blended Fair Value$1,754.97
Current Price$1,759.00
Upside-0.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS105.98%0.00%54.2024.6019.657.951.461.461.461.320.000.00
YoY Growth--120.34%25.20%147.17%443.82%0.00%0.00%11.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.69%1.73%1.53%0.56%0.04%0.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,341.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)327.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,013.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)468.20292.63175.58
Cash Retained (M)2,013.502,013.502,013.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-468.20-292.63-175.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,545.301,720.881,837.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.9818.9818.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share81.4090.6496.81
LTM Dividend per Share17.2517.2517.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share81.4090.6496.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend98.65107.89114.06
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Fair Value$1,293.57$1,642.69$2,062.18
Upside / Downside-26.46%-6.61%17.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,341.002,382.042,423.792,466.282,509.512,553.502,630.10
Payout Ratio13.99%29.19%44.39%59.60%74.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)327.50695.361,076.011,469.801,877.062,298.152,432.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)634.96641.26647.56
Year 2 PV (M)897.20915.10933.18
Year 3 PV (M)1,119.101,152.751,187.07
Year 4 PV (M)1,305.041,357.631,411.79
Year 5 PV (M)1,459.021,532.871,609.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,411.7529,849.9831,345.89
Equity Value (M)33,827.0635,449.6037,135.18
Shares Outstanding (M)18.9818.9818.98
Fair Value$1,781.78$1,867.25$1,956.03
Upside / Downside1.30%6.15%11.20%

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