Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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UA YANG Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. (6983.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.17 - $82.37$65.98
Multi-Stage$130.16 - $143.48$136.69
Blended Fair Value$101.33
Current Price$141.50
Upside-28.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.500.330.330.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--351.28%-0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%0.42%0.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7510.476.28
Cash Retained (M)59.9159.9159.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.75-10.47-6.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.1649.4453.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.713.113.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.713.113.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.214.614.87
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$52.17$65.98$82.37
Upside / Downside-63.13%-53.37%-41.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.7682.9282.0981.2780.4679.6582.04
Payout Ratio28.47%40.78%53.08%65.39%77.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.8533.8243.5853.1462.5171.6975.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)31.6131.9332.25
Year 2 PV (M)38.0738.8539.64
Year 3 PV (M)43.3944.7346.10
Year 4 PV (M)47.7049.6851.72
Year 5 PV (M)51.1353.7956.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,859.071,955.882,056.68
Equity Value (M)2,070.972,174.862,282.95
Shares Outstanding (M)15.9115.9115.91
Fair Value$130.16$136.69$143.48
Upside / Downside-8.01%-3.40%1.40%

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