Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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WindSun Science&Technology Co.,Ltd. (688663.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71.97 - $196.23$183.89
Multi-Stage$28.06 - $30.69$29.35
Blended Fair Value$106.62
Current Price$40.20
Upside165.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS46.13%34.25%0.410.270.250.190.310.060.050.030.040.00
YoY Growth--50.75%8.46%33.62%-39.33%402.72%28.96%38.51%-17.27%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.59%1.22%0.68%0.62%1.38%0.27%0.00%0.15%0.19%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)138.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.6317.2710.36
Cash Retained (M)54.9854.9854.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.63-17.27-10.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.3637.7244.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)139.99139.99139.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.270.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.270.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.860.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$71.97$183.89$196.23
Upside / Downside79.03%357.45%388.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)138.13147.11156.67166.86177.70189.25194.93
Payout Ratio60.19%66.16%72.12%78.08%84.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83.1597.32112.99130.28149.34170.33180.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)90.3991.2592.10
Year 2 PV (M)97.4799.32101.20
Year 3 PV (M)104.38107.37110.43
Year 4 PV (M)111.13115.40119.80
Year 5 PV (M)117.72123.41129.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,407.603,572.193,743.07
Equity Value (M)3,928.684,108.944,295.91
Shares Outstanding (M)139.99139.99139.99
Fair Value$28.06$29.35$30.69
Upside / Downside-30.19%-26.99%-23.67%

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